Possible scenario
Asian Demand Slump
30% Chance
Weak Japanese growth, mild weather, and soft industrial demand reduce Asian spot LNG appetite. Europe benefits from lower competition, but the same demand weakness may also signal softer global cyclical activity.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- Oil prices Down
- Copper Down
Secondary impacts
- Utilities +0.6%
- Energy -0.4%
- Consumer Cyclicals -0.2%
- Industrials
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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