Possible scenario
State Procurement Curbs
30% Chance
Beijing uses the probe to accelerate localization in sensitive AI infrastructure. State-owned enterprises and government-linked cloud providers are directed to reduce reliance on Broadcom switching silicon, NICs, or related software over future procurement cycles.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -2.7%
- Telecommunications -0.9%
- Industrials +0.3%
Tickers
- AVGO-8.2%
- NVDA-2.3%
- MRVL-0.6%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-1.3%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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