Possible scenario
Microsoft Retains Ground
25% Chance
Staff dissatisfaction makes it harder for the Commission to replace Teams quickly, despite the earlier antitrust settlement over bundling. Microsoft benefits from inertia, existing integrations, and familiarity, while EU digital-sovereignty advocates face a practical setback.
Secondary impacts
- Technology +0.1%
Tickers
- ESI-5.3%
- MSFT+0.3%
- ZM-0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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