Possible scenario
Independent Center Returns
25% Chance
A centrist independent lane reopens if Republicans split between Trump loyalists and establishment conservatives. Former Governor Bill Walker, or a similar nonpartisan candidate, benefits from voters who previously backed Lisa Murkowski and Mary Peltola.
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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