Possible scenario
Price War Deepens
20% Chance
The equity selloff reinforces investor concern that Chinese AI model providers are competing away margins. A new round of API discounts by DeepSeek, Alibaba Cloud, Baidu, or Tencent Cloud would make Zhipu and MiniMax look more like low-margin infrastructure vendors than premium software platforms.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.9%
- Business Services -0.4%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.4%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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