Possible scenario
Abbott Stabilizes Race
38% Chance
Greg Abbott's spending advantage, border-security message and Republican baseline in Texas help him recover from weak polling. Ken Paxton's criticism remains a nuisance, but most GOP voters consolidate behind Abbott before Election Day.
Secondary impacts
- Energy +0.2%
- Utilities +0.1%
- Finance +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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