Possible scenario
Rule Repeal Advances
35% Chance
EU central banks persuade the European Commission and EBA that the 60% bank-deposit requirement creates concentration and run-risk problems. A legislative or delegated-rule process begins to replace the mandate with a broader reserve framework using short-dated sovereign bills, repos, and possibly central-bank accounts.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Up
Secondary impacts
- Technology +0.2%
- Finance +0.2%
Tickers
- COIN+1.1%
- -0.9%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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