Possible scenario
Stabilization Measures Dominate
18% Chance
Policymakers focus on market stability rather than immediately solving the MSCI classification issue. Possible steps include accelerated buyback approvals, guidance to state-linked funds, liquidity assurances and Bank Indonesia messaging to limit currency spillovers.
Initial impacts
- 10-year Treasury yield Down
- Market volatility Up
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
- US dollar Up
Secondary impacts
- Telecommunications +0.2%
- Finance +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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