Possible scenario
Appeal Escalates Dispute
30% Chance
The Justice Department moves quickly to the D.C. Circuit, arguing that Reyes should have recused or exceeded her authority by ordering testimony from officials. The appellate process becomes the main forum while the district court keeps pressing for compliance.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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