Possible scenario
Compliance Friction Emerges
20% Chance
Regulators do not reject tokenized stocks outright, but they press projects to clarify custody, investor eligibility, and marketing language. This slows growth for DeFi-native products while the SEC’s five-year tokenized-stock pilot takes shape.
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.3%
- Technology -0.2%
Tickers
- COIN-1.0%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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