Possible scenario
OAuth Permission Abuse
20% Chance
A plausible middle ground is that attackers used an old OAuth app, API token, or delegated permission that did not appear as a fresh login in Coldcard’s account records. This would push crypto firms to audit connected apps without proving a deeper X intrusion.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Down
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.1%
Tickers
- COIN-0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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