Possible scenario
Targeted Recusal Limits
25% Chance
The controversy produces limited ethics constraints rather than a leadership crisis. Ferguson remains chair, but FTC lawyers impose targeted recusals involving specific law firms, clients, or employment discussions.
Secondary impacts
- Technology +0.2%
- Consumer Cyclicals +0.1%
Tickers
- AMZN+0.3%
- GOOG+0.2%
- META+0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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