Possible scenario
Courts Or Congress Intervene
27% Chance
Military families, physicians, or contractors challenge the policy on administrative-law and beneficiary-access grounds, while Congress asks whether the Department of War overrode FDA and CDC processes. This path is plausible because TRICARE benefits are statutory and the FDA had only recently approved Moderna’s flu vaccine.
Secondary impacts
- Healthcare +0.4%
Tickers
- MRNA+2.2%
- PFE+0.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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