Possible scenario
Targeted Rule Implementation
40% Chance
The Education Department implements the two-of-three-years earnings test without major delay, but the first cutoff list is concentrated in lower-earning career, arts, and online programs. Large institutions absorb the change by closing or redesigning a limited set of programs rather than losing access across their full portfolios.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services -0.3%
Tickers
- PRDO-3.7%
- STRA-2.9%
- LOPE-2.0%
- CVSA-0.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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