Possible scenario
Northern Star Holds
27% Chance
Northern Star persuades enough shareholders that the $27 billion approach undervalues its Australian and North American gold portfolio. The company leans on its recently refreshed board and argues that gold-price leverage is better captured independently.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.