Possible scenario
Immigration Politics Intensify
18% Chance
Because ICE previously targeted Somali immigrants in Minneapolis, the Eden Prairie shooting response could become tied to immigration enforcement fears. Even if the mayor's proposal is local and youth-focused, residents may worry that police contact could expose relatives to federal immigration action.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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