Possible scenario
Survival Window Opens
15% Chance
A lower-probability but plausible outcome is that an emergency locator transmitter, raft signal, or partial debris trail leads rescuers to survivors or recoverable victims sooner than expected. Cold Atlantic conditions make this difficult, but professional medevac crews and emergency gear improve the odds slightly versus a typical offshore crash.
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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