Possible scenario
Contained Ethics Reset
45% Chance
The most likely path is that Marco Rubio uses Kimberly Guilfoyle's resignation to tighten internal controls without allowing the matter to consume the State Department. The White House and State Department frame the episode as a personnel issue that has been addressed.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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