Possible scenario
Congressional Scrutiny Grows
18% Chance
Lawmakers use the Guilfoyle episode to question Trump administration vetting and ethics enforcement across political ambassadorships. Rubio faces document requests and possible testimony, though Republicans try to keep the inquiry narrow.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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