Possible scenario
Further Delay Dominates
18% Chance
A second significant postponement is plausible if either side pursues interlocutory appeals, privilege disputes, or complicated evidentiary questions. The case has already moved from October 2026 to February 2027, showing the court is willing to prioritize preparation over speed.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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