Possible scenario
February Trial Proceeds
42% Chance
The most likely path is that U.S. District Court proceedings continue through motion practice and the delayed trial begins in February 2027. The continuance gives both James Comey's defense team and the Justice Department more time for discovery, witness disputes, and pretrial rulings without necessarily changing the core posture of the case.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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