Possible scenario
Wider Literary Boycott
25% Chance
The Rooney dispute becomes a focal point for writers already mobilized around Israel, Gaza, and free-speech issues. A broader group of authors, agents, and literary festivals pressures publishers and retailers to resist sales restrictions tied to Palestine advocacy.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services -0.4%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.