Possible scenario
Demand Accelerates
20% Chance
Sustained interceptor shortages and the demonstrated value of Patriot batteries in Ukraine could lead Washington and allies to pull forward advanced interceptor procurement. This scenario strengthens the missile-defense investment case, especially for Lockheed and direct subsystem suppliers.
Secondary impacts
- Industrials +1.0%
Tickers
- LMT+4.1%
- BA+1.6%
- RTX+0.7%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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