Possible scenario
Blind Trust Reform
20% Chance
The trade count accelerates pressure for a clearer separation between presidential decision-making and market exposure. The most likely reform path is a voluntary blind trust, enhanced disclosure, or tighter pre-clearance rules rather than forced divestment.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Down
Secondary impacts
- Business Services +0.2%
- Technology +0.2%
Tickers
- +1.4%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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