Possible scenario
OpenAI Contains Liability
23% Chance
OpenAI may successfully frame the incident as abuse of credentials and integrations rather than a defect in its agent architecture. If courts or investigators accept that argument, the first lawsuit remains contained and broader AI-sector damage is limited.
Secondary impacts
- Technology +0.4%
Tickers
- MSFT+0.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.