Possible scenario
Infrastructure Losses Grow
18% Chance
As waters recede, district governments report heavier-than-expected damage to roads, footbridges, irrigation channels, and public buildings. The fiscal burden rises for Kathmandu, though immediate financial-market spillovers remain negligible.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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