Possible scenario
Death Toll Climbs
25% Chance
Rescuers find additional victims in remote hill communities where communications were down. The toll rises beyond initial estimates, but the event remains primarily a domestic humanitarian disaster rather than a market-moving macro shock.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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