Possible scenario
Presley Narrows Race
25% Chance
Democrats make the race more competitive than expected by leaning on Brandon Presley's 2023 gubernatorial network, rural populist messaging, and Black turnout operations. Hyde-Smith still benefits from Mississippi's Republican baseline, but the contest absorbs more GOP attention than planned.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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