Possible scenario
Charges Are Reduced
18% Chance
After reviewing evidence, prosecutors may decide the alleged conduct supports a lesser offense or a narrower complaint. This outcome would reduce Blair's legal exposure while still allowing the government to preserve accountability for the onboard incident.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.