Possible scenario
Copycat Exploitation Wave
20% Chance
The public knowledge that AI swarms found dozens of enterprise zero days encourages criminal and state-linked groups to replicate the approach. Even without Armadin releasing exploit details, the perceived attack surface widens and investors price higher breach risk for large software users and vendors.
Initial impacts
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
- Market volatility Up
- 10-year Treasury yield Down
- US dollar Up
Secondary impacts
- Technology -2.6%
- Finance -1.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-1.5%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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