Possible scenario
Appeals And Legal Closure
45% Chance
The most likely path is a conventional legal follow-through: defense lawyers appeal the convictions and sentences while prosecutors defend the High Court ruling. The case remains important domestically, but the immediate policy and market impact is limited because the defendants are already tied to a seven-year-old attack rather than a new security incident.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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