Possible scenario
Watchdog Criticism Deepens
18% Chance
The referral of Counter Terror Police to the watchdog becomes a larger institutional issue. The Independent Office for Police Conduct examines whether warnings before the alleged Farage plot or Widdecombe murder were mishandled.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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