Possible scenario
New Plea Talks
25% Chance
With the original 2024 agreement blocked, defense teams and military prosecutors explore a replacement deal that would avoid death sentences in exchange for guilty pleas. Any new agreement would require senior Defense Department approval and would face intense scrutiny from 9/11 victims' families and Congress.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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