Possible scenario
Commission Trial Proceeds
45% Chance
The Supreme Court's refusal to revive the plea deal leaves the Pentagon's revocation intact, making continued military commission proceedings the default path. Prosecutors continue seeking death-penalty trials against Khalid Sheikh Mohammed and the remaining 9/11 defendants, but the case remains procedurally slow.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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