Possible scenario
Ads Continue During Litigation
30% Chance
The court declines immediate emergency relief, either because plaintiffs have not yet shown irreparable harm or because the government argues the ads are official public communications. The lawsuits continue on an expedited schedule, keeping the issue alive politically without materially affecting markets.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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