Possible scenario
GOP Rebuilds Edge
30% Chance
Republicans treat the Democratic gain as a warning sign and quickly intensify field operations. Trump-aligned groups, the Republican Party of Iowa, and county chairs focus on rural registration, absentee chasing, and persuasion among farm households.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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