Possible scenario
Sustained Theatrical Run
42% Chance
The $15M opening proves more than a curiosity-driven spike, with strong metropolitan attendance and press coverage extending the run. Awards-season positioning and continued interest in Theranos keep the documentary commercially relevant.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.