Possible scenario
Race Tightens Late
25% Chance
Republican voters return to the race in the final two weeks, making the Senate contest more competitive than the October 19 VoteHub rating implies. Ossoff remains favored, but the probability of a close count or runoff rises.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
- 10-year Treasury yield Down
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.1%
- Technology +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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