Possible scenario
Funding Gap Persists
30% Chance
The EU package helps but does not close the humanitarian financing gap created by U.S. cuts, donor fatigue and expanding crises. Agencies continue to ration food and cash assistance because needs in Sudan and neighboring states run into several billions of euros.
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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