Possible scenario
Access Problems Dominate
18% Chance
Security, bureaucratic obstruction and fighting limit the package’s effectiveness, especially in Sudan. Even fully funded aid cannot reach several of the worst-hit areas if the Sudanese Armed Forces, Rapid Support Forces or local authorities block routes.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Up
Secondary impacts
- Industrials -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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