Possible scenario
Talarico Narrows Race
28% Chance
Talarico uses the Fox News platform to reach swing voters and softer Republicans who are uneasy with Paxton's controversies. The debate does not make Talarico the favorite, but it makes the contest more competitive and increases national Democratic investment in Texas.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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