Possible scenario
Paxton Maintains Edge
42% Chance
The Fox News debate goes forward and Ken Paxton avoids a major mistake while keeping the race centered on national Republican themes. James Talarico gets attention but does not materially alter the partisan fundamentals of a Texas Senate race that still favors the Republican nominee.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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