Possible scenario
Debate Changes Little
18% Chance
The debate produces several memorable partisan moments but no clear winner among persuadable voters. Media coverage is intense for one or two news cycles before the race returns to fundamentals: turnout, partisanship, fundraising, and candidate favorability.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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