Possible scenario
Valuation Reset
27% Chance
After a strong run, the market shifts from the AI demand story to valuation, margin assumptions, and analyst price targets. TSMC can still rise if earnings estimates catch up, but the all-time high also increases the risk of short-term profit-taking.
Tickers
- TSM-0.7%
- NVDA-0.4%
- QCOM+0.4%
- AAPL+0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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