Possible scenario
Police Decline Case
45% Chance
Police conclude that the Green Party policy vote is protected political expression and does not meet the threshold for a criminal investigation. Labour MPs continue to criticize the wording, but the dispute remains primarily political rather than legal.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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