Possible scenario
Simon Turns Offshore
42% Chance
The most likely outcome is that Simon weakens over cooler water or curves away from the Mexican coast, leaving the record activity mainly a meteorological milestone. Coastal watches may remain in place, but damage and transport disruption stay limited.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
Secondary impacts
- Finance +0.1%
- Consumer Services +0.1%
- Industrials -0.1%
Tickers
- +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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