Possible scenario
Hyperactive Season Continues
20% Chance
The record-setting basin remains favorable for additional storms because of the powerful El Niño backdrop and warm eastern Pacific waters. Markets would focus on cumulative risk to Mexico and Central America rather than Simon alone.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.4%
- Consumer Services -0.4%
- Consumer Non-Cyclicals +0.4%
Tickers
- -0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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