Possible scenario
Court-Backed Reversal
35% Chance
Politico and press-freedom groups challenge the Air Force One exclusion on First Amendment and due-process grounds. A federal judge or White House counsel moves quickly to avoid a broader ruling that could constrain future press-access decisions.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services +0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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