Possible scenario
Congress expands probe
27% Chance
Senate investigators use the existing probe to demand documents from DHS, OMB, and the White House communications office. This path is politically damaging but initially procedural, with limited near-term market transmission unless it spills into appropriations negotiations.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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