Possible scenario
Race Narrows Late
25% Chance
The Republican nominee improves among independents and lower-propensity GOP voters, cutting Pappas's lead during October. Pappas remains slightly favored, but the race becomes dependent on turnout in Hillsborough, Rockingham, and Strafford counties.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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